Climate Change
Nov. 6th, 2008 02:47 pmA climate scientist (quoted here) says:
Which is fine so far, at least on the surface. But he then goes on to say...
No. If you could not predict the general trend of cyclone activity even a year in advance, why should we trust you on the big picture? Come back to us in a year with how your predictions, based on the less-cyclones model, bear up against 2009's activity and maybe we'll talk.
In the meantime, there is no reason not to go over to non-fossil methods of electricity generation, in order to eke out the reserves for longer, and that will fix this precious Carbon obsession at the same time. Kevin Rudd boasted of including climate worries under the national security policy umbrella, but in that case, where is the sense of urgency or the practical action on behalf of the Australian Government (as opposed to just "encouraging private enterprise")? Where's the leadership? Jesus fucking Christ, if the Allies in WW2 had dawdled this long over "national security issues", the US fleet would've been handing Adm. Nagumo his sushi on a plate instead of his arse in a sling, and the Scots would've been stuffing sauerkraut into their haggis.
Before you get all excited and jump to conclusions, I am happy to report that the latest research shows that more, less, or the same level of tropical cyclone activity is perfectly consistent with predictions of climate models.
Which is fine so far, at least on the surface. But he then goes on to say...
So the record inactivity should definitely be seen as vindicating the prediction of climate models...
No. If you could not predict the general trend of cyclone activity even a year in advance, why should we trust you on the big picture? Come back to us in a year with how your predictions, based on the less-cyclones model, bear up against 2009's activity and maybe we'll talk.
In the meantime, there is no reason not to go over to non-fossil methods of electricity generation, in order to eke out the reserves for longer, and that will fix this precious Carbon obsession at the same time. Kevin Rudd boasted of including climate worries under the national security policy umbrella, but in that case, where is the sense of urgency or the practical action on behalf of the Australian Government (as opposed to just "encouraging private enterprise")? Where's the leadership? Jesus fucking Christ, if the Allies in WW2 had dawdled this long over "national security issues", the US fleet would've been handing Adm. Nagumo his sushi on a plate instead of his arse in a sling, and the Scots would've been stuffing sauerkraut into their haggis.